大概 vs 恐怕: what is the difference?

Chinese grammar · HSK 3 · By Carson 木林森

大概 is a neutral guess or estimate. 恐怕 is a guess that something bad may happen, like "I am afraid". 他大概三十岁 is a neutral guess, while 恐怕他不来了 voices worry.

WordPinyinWhat it doesStructure
大概dà gàiMarks a rough guess or estimate, roughly or probably.大概 + number / verb phrase
恐怕kǒng pàExpresses a worried guess that something unwelcome may happen.恐怕 + unwelcome clause

大概 (dà gài)

Marks a rough guess or estimate, roughly or probably.

Structure: 大概 + number / verb phrase

ChinesePinyinEnglish
从这里到机场大概要一个小时。Cóng zhè lǐ dào jī chǎng dà gài yào yí gè xiǎo shí.It takes about an hour from here to the airport.
他大概不会来了,我们先吃吧。Tā dà gài bú huì lái le, wǒ men xiān chī ba.He probably will not come, so let us eat first.
现在大概十点了。Xiàn zài dà gài shí diǎn le.It is probably about ten o'clock now.

Not: 他大概明天一定来。 大概 expresses a guess, which clashes with 一定.

恐怕 (kǒng pà)

Expresses a worried guess that something unwelcome may happen.

Structure: 恐怕 + unwelcome clause

ChinesePinyinEnglish
恐怕明天的比赛要取消了。Kǒng pà míng tiān de bǐ sài yào qǔ xiāo le.I am afraid tomorrow's match will be called off.
这件衣服太小,恐怕你穿不了。Zhè jiàn yī fú tài xiǎo, kǒng pà nǐ chuān bù liǎo.This garment is too small, I am afraid you cannot wear it.
现在才三点,恐怕他还没到。Xiàn zài cái sān diǎn, kǒng pà tā hái méi dào.It is only three, so I am afraid he has not arrived yet.

Not: 恐怕明天天气会很好。 恐怕 worries about a bad outcome; for a good guess use 大概.

Where this comes from

The comparison is part of Modal Stance Adverbs: 大概, 恐怕, 当然, 其实 (HSK 3) in the grammar reference, which has the full explanation, more worked examples, and what to learn before and after it.

More pairs: 才 vs 就 · 朝 vs 向 · 从 vs 自从 · 得很 vs 极了 · 光 vs 只 · 互相 vs 相互 · 叫 vs 让 · 每 vs 各 · 听不懂 vs 没听懂 · 需要 vs 要 · 因为 vs 为了 · 只有…才 vs 只要…就 · all 81 pairs.

Reading the difference is the first ten minutes. GraphChinese drills both words until choosing between them is automatic.

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between 大概 and 恐怕?

大概 is a neutral guess or estimate. 恐怕 is a guess that something bad may happen, like "I am afraid". 他大概三十岁 is a neutral guess, while 恐怕他不来了 voices worry.

GraphChinese drills each of these patterns and schedules the review that keeps it. The whole course, HSK 0 through HSK 6, is $49 once for lifetime access.

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